Watchlist for October 14th: Just this once, everybody dies!

Okay, I sure ain’t The Doctor (who might say it like this), but if I were on his show as The Reaper then I would have to utter the line, “Just this once, everybody dies!”

OPTT – New contract announced, which is really just clarification and further information about an earlier announcement months ago. This did not gap up but gained strength throughout the day as day-traders got into the hot stock of the moment. It faded in the last hour. I like this as a short on red.

optt

optt

EMMS – Hmm, radio still doing fine. This chart looks nice for a long.Volume did not pick up until the afternoon.

emms

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.

Trade recap: Laissez les bons temps rouler!

Pardon the lack of substantive blogging (and trading) over the last few days; I was in New Orleans for a friend’s wedding. Saturday night I took my wife out to dinner at Restaurant August, one of Gayot’s top 40 restaurants in the US in 2008. We both had the restaurant’s seven-course tasting menu. I also made sure to get some very good (and surprisingly cheap) pastries at Le Croissant d’Or in the French Quarter.

Daily profit (yesterday and today): $69.90

Me enjoying a beef fillet at Restaurant August in New Orleans (course 5 of 7):
august

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.

Watchlist for October 12th

Not to much on this watchlist, I’ve had a bunch of other things to deal with this weekend. I haven’t seen a really good short setup in over a week now.

TRXAQ – In bankruptcy, up big time Friday on no particular news, closed very strong. I expect follow-through. Long on green, short on red. Obviously nothing more than a day-trade, as this thing is almost certainly worth zero.

PIR – Strong move Friday, near 52-week highs. Could be good for some more Monday. Long on green.

CEM – Nice breakout Friday, could have more room to run. Long on green.

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.

Trade recap: Do your own due diligence

My call of PLUG as a potential long was horrible. Yesterday it did gain nicely but it spiked in the morning (reaching its high around 10am) and then faded all day. The fade has continued today, albeit more gradually. A stock that spikes quickly and then fades all day is not likely to continue its upward move.

plug

To correct what I said in the video, IMGG’s stock dilution from the PIPE they announced two days ago was only 40%, not 100%. Still, that is crazy dilution. With 370 million shares outstanding now the company has a market cap of $260 million.

Daily profit: $50.00

Weekly profit: ($380.64)

Disclosure: Short 5000 shares of IMGG. I have a disclosure policy.

The best stock watchlist you will read on this blog this week!

Gosh, I sound like a penny stock promoter with these hyped-up titles. Some interesting stocks, but my trading week will probably finish boringly tomorrow.

TIV – nice breakout, but it is a commodity play.

tiv

PLUG – Nice big volume break. Should be good for more upside. Long on green.

plug

MMG – Yep, another miner. Ignore.

mmg

LIZ – Beautiful breakout above resistance at $6.30. A little over-extended for me to play it long. Also tends to trade choppily.

liz

ENMD – Crappy biotech up 50% on no news? Buy on green, $0.95 is meaningful. Short on red.

enmd

LUNA – Spiked hard on rumors of a contract win. Even stocks with “fat-fingered shorts” charts that are up on rumors usually fade. I thought about shorting, but this would have been a higher-risk trade. No play now.

LUNA

ZMTP – Spinoff or new incarnation of ZOOM or something. Crazy chart, could still have another day of crazy spiking in it. Long on green, but trading it long here would be very risky.

ZMTP

APCVZ – A great history of failing on every single spike. I tried to short today but it was not shortable at IB until it had already dropped to $0.63. It should drop tomorrow but the risk/reward is not great.

apcvz

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.

Understanding engineered breakouts

Video trade recap plus my analysis of what I call an ‘engineered breakout’, when concentrated buying, whether by a single large trader or a trader with a following (such as Superman or the Lionmaster or others) causes a technical breakout after which momentum buyers further push up the stock. Best quote of the video: “This is the best damn trade recap video you will see … today.”

Due to overwhelming demand (most particularly from Tim Bohen aka tbohen), I will be borrowing an iPhone with the “I am T-Pain” app on it while in Vegas so I can auto-tune a trade recap or two. (See Autotune the News if you do not understand.) I have a volunteer who will lend his iPhone to the effort so no need to worry.

Daily profit: ($11.64)

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.

How to trade the upcoming Doubling Stocks pump & dump

Doubling Stocks (along with a number of other stock promoters) pulled off one of the best pump & dumps of the year back in May by pumping UOMO Media Inc. (OTC: UOMO). The pump sent the stock from $0.35 to $1.00 in one day. I was too afraid to make money buying it (I actually bought it in the pre-market on the pump day but sold right after the open … a few minutes later it rose like a rocket), but I did make some money short selling it. All told, I made over $1,100 on it.

Of course, by being unethical losers, Michael Cohen and crew at Doubling Stocks made far more than that. They received only a measly $50,000 from a third party to pump the stock, but they bought 400,000 shares prior to the pump that they then sold into the pump. Tim Sykes had a good post on the pump where he copied the full disclaimer. A very conservative estimate of Doubling Stocks’ trading profit would be $140,000, if they bought at $0.35 and sold at $0.70. A more likely average buy price would be $0.25 as they probably bought over a week or two prior to the pump, with an average sell price right near the top of the pump at $0.90. If that was the case, then they made about $260,000.

uomo

Michael Cohen of Doubling stocks has been sending out emails about his forthcoming pump, which will come on October 30. Here is his description of his previous pump:

About 5 months ago, before
my last stock pick I said:

“If this stock doesn’t triple
within 48 hours I’ll RETIRE
as a stock picker”

What happened?

The stock rocketed from $0.35
to $1.06 in under 48 hours!

But this time he writes that the stock will take a lot longer to rise:

However, this time… I believe my
new pick will steadily climb to
its peak over a span of 14 to 21
days.

What does that mean? Of course, I cannot know for certain, but I bet that means that he is going to gradually sell his holdings into the pump to make sure that it rises slowly. Or, he could be getting paid a lot of money for the pump and whomever is paying him is planning on dumping a huge number of shares into the market, keeping the stock from rising much. If he gets paid enough money for this pump he won’t care if the stock goes up or not. He’ll be happy to screw his followers, because he can always build another pump and dump site. Such is what happened to StockPreacher last summer. No matter what, the risk of going long a pump such as this is high and I will likely not look to buy it. I will, however, look to short it aggressively, something I did not do last time.

Disclosure: No positions. I have a disclosure policy.